CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
Are you bored with the 9 to 5 job? Want something in your life to change instantly? Want your dreams come true. Your dream of relaxing in a big house and there is a flow of money in the form of dividend cheque. Imagine yourself an owner of a business and watch your company grow.
All of this and much more is now possible by owning STOCKS.
In today’s fast moving world , stocks which was always the ball game of the rich and wealthy people , with the trading technologies expanding itself , the market has opened its doors to each and all who wish to own stock.
If you wish to multiply your money and want build wealth then owning stock is the thing for you .But before you take the plunge in this deep sea of stock market ,its vital and important for you understand about the stocks and how they trade. Most people have heard about stocks from friends or often have overheard a conversation, like “oh Mr. Shah, did wonders on the stock market and now is starting a new firm “or “Mr. Patel lost …XYZ amount in the stock market. Though being a very popular topic of discussion in most of the places, there is a lot of misconception about it. Everything in life is not free so even this money building financial tool also has risk factors in it.
The only way is to educate our self and protect our self by investing the money at the right place.
CHAPTER 2
WHAT ARE STOCKS AND SHARES?
To run a company or a business, you need funds. This capital can either be generated from within or one has to be borrowed from outside. Borrowing the money can always be a very expensive option , what companies do is give a unit of ownership interest in a corporation or a financial asset, which is called a SHARE and the person possessing the share is called SHARE HOLDER.
It does not mean that if a person is SHAREHOLDER he/she gets to make decisions in the day to day operations of the business. They get the equal share in the profits of the business in the form of dividends.
STOCK signifies the ownership on the company’s assets and earnings. So in totality SHARES and STOCKS in today’s financial market mean the same thing.
Normally a layman would buy certain shares and keep it just to earn dividends, where as few investors who want to deal in the stock trading would buy and sell them. The prices of the shares keep on rising and falling, so you should d be prepared to lose your investment anytime.
There are investors in the stock market who have lost their fortune in it and few have billions.
So what is most important before entering into the big well of stock market is to educate yourself properly and learn in which shares to invest which can give you big returns.
CHAPTER 3
TYPES OF STOCKS
There are generally 2 types of Stocks.
COMMON STOCK: A common stock also known as Voting share or an Ordinary share gives the right to the shareholder to vote on the corporate matters .policy and to elect the Board Members. Mostly the companies issue Common stocks. The dividend paid on these stocks is not fixed and would vary. The return on the Common stocks is much higher than in any other investment, but this return are with cost as common stock involves maximum risks. If the company goes bankrupt or chooses to close down Common stock holders are only paid after the preferred shareholders, bondholders and the creditors are paid. The biggest benefit of a common stock is its can be converted in cash, that is can be liquidities very fast.
PREFERED STOCK : A Preferred stock is also known as known as Preference share or Preferred share, is a higher ranking stock then the Common stock, and its terms are negotiated between the company and the investor. Preferred stock generally does not carry a voting rights but it does carry priority over the Common stock in payment of dividend and upon liquidation. A Preferred stock holder has option to convert his stock to common stock after predetermined dates, which are called CONVERTIBLE PREFERRED SHARES.
CHAPTER 4
WHAT MOVES STOCK PRICES.
Stock prices are directly related to the company’s earnings, but what exactly makes this prices move? There are no hard and fast rules to this. The news report of a specific company would make the investors have more stocks of it or the negative news can make the investors move out of those companies’ holdings by selling them.
The other reason for the market to sway is countries attempt to correct the inflation. Generally changes the stock prices are affected if the If the country usually higher or lowers the interest rates
According to analyst, amateur investors also can be a reason to move the stock market up and down. Amateur investors out of inexperience normally make decisions on press releases or rumors
The day traders are also considered the major contributor for the ups and downs of the stocks, as they generally deal in huge numbers of stock which affect the stock.
If the company’s are able to show that they have met or exceeded their profit margin , the stocks of the company will automatically go up, but if vice a versa .. If company falls short in meeting the profit margin the immediate reaction of the investors would be to sell the stock holdings of that company.
So to conclude, there is no exact reason for the stock prices to move up or down…
Success in investing comes not with how and a dash of luck, but with analytical and cool mind.
MARKET TREND: BEAR OR BULL!!!!
Where these names do came from? Remember bears are sluggish and bulls are forceful. The bull flairs its thorns up when tries to attack its prey and the bear swipes downs, this is metaphorically depicted in the stock market. When the market has trend is upwards it’s said to be a Bull market and Bear market when the trend hits the downward graph.
BULL MARKET
A bull market trend is associated with increasing confidence of the investors, and anticipation of the future rise in the prices which would motivate the investors to buy the stocks. India’s Mumbai Stock Exchange Index, SUNSEX, was in the Bull Run for almost five years fro2003 to 2008.
BEAR MARKET
A Bear market is a steady drop in the stock market over a period of time. It is accompanied by pessimistic approach taken by the investors anticipating future down fall in the prices and hence starts selling the shares. No specific definition is available for the Bear market. But one generally accepted measure is a price decline of 15 % over a two month period of time.
CHAPTER 5
STOCKMARKETS
A stock market is a public for trading of the company stock at an agreed price. It is considered the fast way to get the money from an individual and give it to the company that needs it.
The concept of stock trading comes from way back in 1600 , when the East India Company was launched, it needed money from the people for their voyages, without any guarantee of return .hence they approached the investors to whom they gave shares in return of the cash.
The idea was that the risk would be shared and divided among the investors, no fixed returns would be paid to them but if company progressed and did well then the investors will be benefited. The idea worked and the investors made profits and by the end of 17th century many more were entering the ball game of trade.
In 1801 the LSE (LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE) was formulated, the systems were formulated and there was no looking back after that. LSE also runs AIM (Alternative investment Market) for the young companies as “starter market “
Today, along with Britain, LSE runs the biggest exchange with 1800 + companies, which is called the “main market “.
CHAPTER 6
STOCK EXCHANGES
WHY DO COMPANIES LIST ON THEM?
Stock Exchange is an organization or a corporation which helps in trading o
f stocks to investors and stock brokers. The main aim of listing the companies on stock exchange could be
Raising Capital for the businesses
Mobilizing Savings for further Investment and
Facilitating Companies Growth
NYSE
The biggest and the most prestigious stock exchange is the NYSE ( NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE) .NYSE came in existence way back in 1972 , when 24 New York stockbrokers and merchants got together
Sign the Buttonwood Agreement.
NYSE is first exchange of its kind and trades in the open outcry system. Each stock is traded by a specialist (who is the employee of NYSE) on a specific location on the trading floor. This specialist actually works as auctioneer between buyer and the seller in particular stock. This type of trading makes NYSE different from other exchanges which are totally dependent on electronic devices.
Today with changing times half of NYSE is also trading on electronic devices, and is come out of the Stone Age.
NASDAQ
The NASDAQ (NATIONAL ASSOCIATION of SECURITIES DEALERS AUTOMATED QUOTATION) is the second type of exchange and the largest electronic screen based trading market of United States of America. The exchange does not have central locations of specialist, neither do they floor trading. The entire trading is done through computers and telecommunications.
AMEX
The third largest exchange of America is the AMEX (AMERICAN STOCK EXCHANGE), which has been taken over by NASD (parent company of NASDAQ) in 1998.
OTHER EXCHANGES
There are many other stock exchanges around the world. Almost all countries have stock exchanges, with Americas stock exchange being undoubtedly be the largest.
List of other exchanges,
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
HONG KON GSTOCK EXCHANCE
MUMBAI STOCK EXCHANGE
JOHENSBURG SECURITIES EXCHANGE
And the list can go on…………
CHAPTER 7
WHAT ARE STCOK INDEXES
A stock market index is a method of measuring a section of stock market. Statistical indicator used in measurement and reporting changes in the market value of group of stocks. By measuring the performance of a one company based on the performance of other companies in the same type of business, which will help the investors to make best investment.
Major types of stock indices:-
There stock indices may classified in many ways.
GLOBAL market index includes all types of companies irrespective of where they are domiciled or traded. The 2 best examples of such index are MSCI WORLD and S&P GLOBAL 100.
NATION market index indicates the performance of a stock exchange of a nation and reflects the economy of the country. The examples of such index are the INDIAN SUNSEX and the JAPANESE NIKKEI 225
More specialized indices comprise of tracking the performance of the certain sector of the market, the example is MORGAN STANLEY BOITECH INDEX, it comprises of 36 American companies under biotechnology industry
Other indexes may track the companies from its size, or a certain type of management etc.
Weighting
The index can be also classified under the criteria as to how is it priced
PRICE WEIGHTED INDEX also known as equal dollar weighted index, each component stock contributes only to its price when determine the overall value. The size of the company or the volume in which its trading is not taken into considerations, hence evens a slight up or down in a single company highly influences the index
CAPITALIZED WEIGHTED INDEX also known as market value weighted index, whose components are weighted according to the total market value of their outstanding shares. The impact of the component’s price change is proportional to the issues overall market value.
CHAPTER 8
HOW DO I BUY AND SELL SHARES?
In ancient days buying and selling stocks/shares was the privilege of the rich , who with the help of certain share brokers use to buy and sell shares and among those few , the ones who had the inside information of the companies use to mint most money.
But the today’s internet age, the entire information is available to the common man, making him pretty much the part of this never ending market. As now most of the information is available on the internet, the stock brokers give their services with no frills attached , meaning you tell them which shares you want to buy or sell and they would do exactly the same , no advice given .
There are big stocks brokers like Barclays, Brennan etc who charge for the service their certain amount of commission for each deal, and also few brokers charge you yearly and quarterly fee just to keep your account open and do the dealing on your behalf.
Investors buy shares only for the purpose of income in forms of dividend, and then they should scrutinize properly and buy such shares that yield the most dividends.
Some investors are not interested in income but are more inclined towards capital growth, hence when the share price increases in anticipation that the company will yield more profits in future and which will affect the increase in the dividend payments… hence investors who are interested in capital growth, should invest in share that are expected to yield huge dividends in future.
CHAPTER 9
WHAT TYPE OF TRADER ARE YOU?
Each individual who is the stock market and is intending to make money has to identify himself from the various trader types he falls into and has to utilize that strategy.
The following are the types of traders,
POSITION TRADERS
Most investors fall in this category, as they buy stocks and hold them for months and years expecting to get more profits out of it. Institutional investors, mutual funds and investment banks are interested in such stocks which yield profits in long term. They concentrate more on the financial strength of the company and not in technicalities.
SWING TRADERS.
These are the traders who look for the fast movement in the market. Fast buying and selling , and in this short term of holding shares these types of traders make lots of wins and losses .They have the fast profit making mentality , they have high risk to reward ratio.
DAY TRADERS.
The stock market moves up and down every day and these types of traders make the most and capture the big portion of the move. He does not believe in keeping the stocks for more period of time like position and swing traders. He uses the stock market as source of income and not investment.
CHAPTER 10
INVESTING
PICKING STOCKS AND PLANNIGN TRADES
Stock picking in many ways is as good as choosing a spouse for you. There are lots of options available to you if you have money. Once you have decided that you want to invest in shares, the biggest question which comes to the mind is how to I buy stocks? How do I plan my trades?
It is up to you to decide in which category of investors you want to be and which strategy you would follow
GROWTH INVESTING STRATEGY
IF you are kind of optimistic investor, then this strategy is good for you. Here the investor foresees the growth of the company’s earnings and invests in it. This type of strategy is considered to the best for beginners in the stock market.
VALUE INVESTING STRATEGY
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd both professors at Columbia Business School, and professors too many big investors, are known as FATHER of this strategy.
In this strategy, the investors tend to buy stocks whose price has recently fallen and are available at cheap prices. But you have to be careful, value investing does not mean “JUNK “.Investors has to do their homework on the companies, and distinguish between the value company and the companies with declining prices. The company should have its fundamentals healthy to prove its worth.
DIVIDEND INVESTING STRATEGY
In this stra
tegy the investors, buys stocks which pay dividends regularly to them on quarterly or yearly basis… The choice of companies in this strategy should be sound and healthy. This strategy may not be the sexist strategy, but in the long run, this time tested investment strategy would definitely yield returns.
CREATING A STOCK TRADING PLAN
If you want to build your wealth, keep your wealth and grow your wealth you should have a solid Stock Trading Plan .A stock trading plan is a fixed set of rules and actions which formulate your trading strategy. Every trade you do should be governed by your trading plan.
Your trade plan is your road map to tell yourself and affirm yourself and reach your goals.
You will have to consider certain criteria for your plan like,
the timing Price of the stock Current news about the stock Liquidity of the stocks How long to keep the stock i.e. to hold them When to sell the stock What to do when the prices of the stock does not move. Etc
You can think of other aspects as well, but the above is the major point s you have to consider.
Once you have made a plan, mock run of the plan in the stock market which will help you to know if your plan is effective or it needs amendments.
CHAPTER 11
THE MECHANICS – PLACING THE ORDER
STEP 1
OPENING A SHARE DEALING ACCOUNT
Once you have decided that you want to deal in shares, you have to open a standard share dealing account, which usually is free. The basic share dealing account offers certain services for free , that means “ No ADVICE “ they would simply buy or sell as per instructions given. They allow you to trade over the phone or thru internet
If you have opened an account with your broker then you have to send them money stating which and how many shares you want to buy. They would charge you certain brokerage fees for their services. Also few of them charge trading fee, if there is no activity for a certain period of time as inactivity fee.
If you are trading through a web site, then it would ask for a username in which you want to open an account and then a password, that’s it and you are on. Once you put the username and the password , it would ask you which companies shares you want to buy, how much you want to buy it would then give you a share quote , if acceptable to you .they get their research on the trading charts and
You can always think and come back again. If the quote is acceptable to you u confirms it and in return you will get an email confirmation by the broker and the deal is done.
Yes, it sounds a little tensed but you will get use to it over a period of time.
CHAPTER 12
RESEARCH STOCKS
STEP2
RESEARCH STOCKS
It is very important that you do proper research on the stock because the stock markets behave in weird ways and you should have proper knowledge to it. Never buy the stocks at random, as the market is not random and it works on lots of principles and attributes. If you want to succeed in the stock market you have to do proper research. Either you do the research on your own or you can hire someone to do it for you.
5 VITAL ISSUES
Fundamentals about the company. How is the company doing, is it a profit making company and a sound company. What is the price history of the stocks of that company, i.e. how much are the investors paying for the stocks. Price target is also a vital factor; you have to see how much the investors would pay for the stocks in future. What catalysts would change the investor’s perception of the stock? The most important of all compare the stocks with others in the same industry.
So, to sum up we can say that it’s important that as an investor you should have understanding of wider markets trends, knowledge of individual sectors. Also you should be able to analyze the financial records. You should not be able to have access to rumors and upcoming deals. Last but the most important is No emotional bias, generally this last point is overlooked.
Research before buying the shares; this can be done in many ways,
Go through the TV SHOWS and the newspapers, they have all the details of the shares which are doing well. Take valuable tips from friends and family members who have the knowledge of the subject, Never take any decision in HASTE and do not ignore any ADVICE. Full service brokers also help to do the research, they hire the stock analysts and they in turn find out which would be the ideal stocks purchase for the client. They charge a specific fee for their services. Interviews of the owners, CEO’S, directors etc also are helpful as they normally give the correct synopsis of their company. In today’s world the internet technology has made the things easier for the investors to the research on their fingertips, they can research on trading charts and platforms. Some of these charts are available for free and some have costs attached to it.
It is of very important that you get all relevant and correct information on time so as to grow in the market and make maximum profits. You should be aware of that in the stock trading wrong and unreliable information is very dangerous.
CHAPTER 13
HOW TO READ QUOTES
HOW TO READ SHARE QUOTES IN NEWSPAPERS / INTERNET
Most of the people track their stock trades in the business sections of the newspaper or on the internet. The information provided on the stock table is the most current data available.
The stock table looks something like below
STEP1
Column 1 and 2 are the 52 WEEK High and Low – This is the highest and the lowest price paid for the single stock over the last 52 weeks i.e. one year.
STEP 2
Column 3 is the Companies name and the Type of stock – This column lists the name of the company. If there are no special letters or numbers following the name it is considered to be a common stock, but For example “pf” is return then it means the preferred stock, different symbols imply different types of stocks.
Step 3
Column 4 is the Ticker Symbol (SYM) – This is the unique alphabetic name which identifies the stock issued by the firm. If you are looking for the stocks quotes online you should search for the company by the Ticker Symbol.
STEP 4
Column 5 is the Dividend per Share – This indicated the annual dividend paid for each share, but if the space is blank then the company is not paying any dividends.
STEP5
Column 6 is the Dividend Yield –This is the percentage return on the dividend. Some companies do not pay dividends regularly; the Board of Directors decides how much to pay on quarterly basis calculated on annual dividend of the share divided by the price per share.
STEP 6
Column 7 is the Price/ Earnings Ratio –Mostly commonly known as P/E, this is calculated the current stocks prices by earnings per share from the last 4 quarters. The higher the P/E, the more investors are paying for the company’s potential.
STEP 7
Column 8 is the Trading Volume –The figures shows the total number of shares traded for the day, listed in hundreds. To get the actual number traded add”00” to the end of the numbers listed or multiply the number in the column by 100
STEP 8
Column 9 and 10 are the Days High and Low – This indicates the maximum and the minimum people have paid for the stock in a day
STEP 9
Column 11 is the Close – The close is the last trading price recorded at the end of the day, i.e. at market close.
STEP 10
Column is 12 is the Net Change – This is the dollar value change in the stock price then the last day’s closing price. If the + (positive) sign indicates rise and a – (negative) sign indicates a drop in the price.
CHAPTER 14
HOW TO BUY SHARES?
We have already discussed this before, but just to refresh it further, in ancient days dealing i
n trade market was only the privilege of the rich people, but now it is not so a common man is also a part of the trade market.
You can buy shares through any of the following ways
Stock broking through bank, custom stock brokers over the telephone or on line trading through internet.
If you have no idea how to go about investing and really need a lots of help then in that circumstances , you can go for ADVISORY SERVICE , where in the stock broker looks in to you individual account and advices you on buying and selling
But , if you wish to hand over the entire thing to someone else, then in that case you can go for DISCREATIONARY SERVICE, in this there is certain strategy between you and the broker which is agreed upon and the stock broker takes all the decisions of buying and selling on your behalf with your money. This type of service risk factor is more.
You can categorize the brokers in two major types,
Discount brokers – these brokers will collect a certain amount of annual fee form you and will only carry out what has been told to them, over the phone, in person or on the internet. They would give ZERO advice to you.
Full Service brokers- these brokers give you recommendations and advices on which stocks are good to buy, which will yield profits and which stocks are overvalued. They provided these services with a little higher fees and sometimes even commissions
CHAPTER 15
HOW TO PICK A BROKER
Now, the question arises is HOW DO I PICK BROKER?
You should first decide whether you want a telephoning broker or he should be an online broker as well. Then next you should find the following factors.
ü Quality of information
ü How fast is the execution of trade
ü The markets available
ü Costs attached with them
ü Check how much equities they would pay
ü Would they provide with CFD’S
ü How much fees would he charge on the unused cash in your trading account
ü How much discounts. Penalties will be there on frequent /infrequent trading.
WHAT ARE THE QUESTIONS YOU WILL ASK DISCOUNT BROKERS
How much do they charge for buying and selling shares? Do they have any subscription fees How do they buy and sell shares Do they deal with telephone and internet both? Do they offer trade discounts Do they offer and added services like alerts, dynamic market data etc.
CHAPTER 16
GOLDEN RULES OF BUYING SHARES
9 golden rules of buying shares
1. STICK TO THE RULES- Always remember that the stock prices would go up and down, what is needed is to stick to your strategy which you have planned. Swaying away from the rules would only bring losses.
2. DIVERSIFY – Do not invest all your eggs in one basket; invest in various sectors not just the one which is mining.
3. BUY SHARES THAT SUIT YOUR TRADING CYCLES – if you are buying shares for a long term it definitely wont suit you if you are short term trader and it goes other way also… short term shares wont suit the long term trader as well.
4. KNOW YOUR RISK TOLERNACE – A speculative share has a different risk profile as to out of favor “ blue chip “.Allocate your capital according to your own risk tolerance and the risk profile of the trade.
5. DON’T RUSH IN – The market will be still there waiting for you when you are ready to trade. Learn about the market before you start trading particularly the new investors. The best way to start is with the PAPER TRADE, so as to learn the basics first.
6. DO NOT GET GREEDY – Don’t think that you will be a millionaire in a day, be practical and not over realistic. Don’t think it’s very easy, as it’s very easy to lose money also in the trade market.
7. ONKY INVEST WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE – if the shares are the cause of your worries then definitely either you have invested in the wrong ones, or you have far too many to handle, so SELL them , nothing in the world d is more important than your peace of mind.
8. NEVER EVER CHASE SHARES – exercise patience, never run behind the shares and purchase beyond your limits, because the time will definitely come when you will be able to buy them within your limits.
9. KEEP ACCURATE UP TO DATE RECORDS- The most important of all, for penalties for not declaring your profits and not paying the capital gains are too much high. So stick to the rules.
CHAPTER 17
STOCK MARKET INVESTING TIPS
What should you do to be successful in the stock market, may be the following tips would help you
HAVE A PLAN
If you want your money to grow, wealth to multiply then the first thing you need is a full proof and solid strategy plan. If your plan is not good then you would just end up fixing your errors.
INVEST REGULARLY
Investment in shares is not a onetime game. You should keep on investing if you want to yield good profits.
LOW COSTS
Frequent trading would definitely add up to costs. Certain fees are always there which you need to pay, but do not indulge yourself into counterproductive things, which ultimately would make you use up your profits too. Best is to stick to the basic low cost transactions.
DO NOT BUY TOO MUCH AT ONCE
Try to buy at a certain amount and a certain period of time, which will give you advantaged of best prices. Hence if you want to invest to do not invest at a time, do it over a time frame of days, weeks or months.
DIVERSIFY
It’s the most important and vital thing to diversify as it would help to minimize the risk. All the types of investment, goes thought the cycle of setbacks ups and downs… hence you should diversify to earn profits in long term.
DO YOUR REASERCH
Before you decide to invest choose the right industry and in that choose the correct company. It would take a little bit of time but, do your homework properly before investing because it’s ultimately your hard earned money you want to invest for betterment.
NO EMOTIONS
The most basic thing of investment is, you have to keep emotions aside what it needs is cool, calm and balanced mind.
KNOW YOURSELF
You should now yourself about the market as well as which stock is good, if you are not able to do that than its always advised to have a professional do it for you .yes, we definitely talked that we should keep our costs low, but in this respect it’s always good to have someone manage your trade if you are ignorant about it,
CHAPTER 18
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN STOCKS AND SHARES
For the first time investors it is difficult to decide where to invest his money .which option to select and when all the information seems to be confusing. In that the most common question asked is what the difference between STOCKS and SHARES is.
In today’s financial market, the distinction between the both is somewhat blurred, however
STOCKS mean ownership of certificates in multiple companies. You may not be only the stockholder but also the shareholder for each particular company as well.
SHARES mean ownership of certificates in a certain company. It makes the person the shareholder of that company.
The common misconception about stocks and shares is that they are different things. In reality they are the same thing but are referred to differently when talking about more than one company.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN STOCKS AND BONDS
Sometimes it’s difficult for the new investor to differentiate the difference between the two. If I must say so, there are people who have been investing for a long time, but still they have not been able to articulate the difference. People think that stocks are more riskier then bonds and basically it is true also,
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STOCK means ownership of certificates in multiple companies. The price to the stocks will actually depend upon the performance of the company. If company is doing well you will share the appreciation, but if the company has gone in loss, then u will equally be sharing the loss.
BONDS are “credit “given by the investor to the company. It’s a kind of loan provided to the company to carry on their activities. The percentage the investor gets is fixed.
The shareholder would stick to the shares even in bad times and would expect that the company would do better in future, but the bondholder is just concerned with his initial amount and the interest from the company.
It is possible that investor has invested in a small and a risky company and if the company shuts down then the bond holder has to lose his initial investment as well, but this happens in a rear case.
So what would be a wise investment BONDS OR STOCKS?
Well. It depends on the person personal decisions and what is his risk tolerance. Though the ideal long term portfolio could be a blend of little bit of both.
CHAPTER 19
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
It is always been a difficult and a confusing decision as to which stocks to buy. The financial analysts heavily depend to the Fundamental analysis at that time.
Fundamental analysis is looking at the basic or the fundamental financial level. It helps as key to determine the company’s health and gives the idea of the value of its stock. Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of investing. Its core objective is to do the financial forecast of the company
v To conduct companies stock evaluation
v To make projections about its business performance
v To evaluate its management
v To calculate its credit risks.
TECHINCAL ANALYSIS
Technical analysis forecasts the future directions of the prices, through past data and market trend. It ‘ignores’ the actual financial condition of the company, market currency, it just solely goes by the “charts “that is the price and volume information only. It is just not limited to charting but it also considers price trends.
Technical analysts believe that the investors collectively repeat the behaviors of the investors who preceded them. While it will take long time for the technical analyst to be picked as the one to manage your trade, but certain financial institutions and banks are using them as tools.
CHAPTER 20
FAQ ‘S
v If I buy, when should I sell?
Stock market is a creature in and of itself. When will the bull market is going to change to bear market is anyone’s guess. Hence, we should hold the shares which are stable and are moving up. When you see the company’s shares you have taken are dropping, dipping continuously, then I guess it is time to abandon the ship from those share, meaning it would be wise to sell those shares which are falling in price.
v How many shares should I hold?
If they are fewer the better it is good to be diversified, but you should hold that many share that you can manage, and handle on your own. What is the point of holding 1000 shares and If you cannot know them all… instead it’s better to have 25- 30 which are manageable.
v How can I buy and sell my shares tax efficiently?
You will be able to do this inside a self select Isa
Most of the brokers provide you with this facility where they give you an empty Isa wrapper. You have to fill it pound 7000 worth of shares and then trade tax free. All capital gains you make will be tax free.
v What are Penny stocks?
There is no set accepted definition for the Penny Stock. Some define it as stock priced under 1$ and some say 5$. They are actually type of stock that generally trades at very low value and market capitalization. They are highly speculative and have high risk due to lack of liquidity. They are generally traded over the counter (OTC) and on pink sheets.
v What is buying on margin?
A risky technique where in you are buying stocks with borrowed money from the broker. You can term it as a loan from the broker to buy the stocks. In this it allows the investor to be paid the fractional amount and the rest in borrowed from the broker. The broker sets a margin account with you and also charges you with brokerage on the loan and you have to pay interest as well. They can also hold the shares as collateral against the loan you have taken and can take the stocks, if you become a defaulter.
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CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
Are you bored with the 9 to 5 job? Want something in your life to change instantly? Want your dreams come true. Your dream of relaxing in a big house and there is a flow of money in the form of dividend cheque. Imagine yourself an owner of a business and watch your company grow.
All of this and much more is now possible by owning STOCKS.
In today’s fast moving world , stocks which was always the ball game of the rich and wealthy people , with the trading technologies expanding itself , the market has opened its doors to each and all who wish to own stock.
If you wish to multiply your money and want build wealth then owning stock is the thing for you .But before you take the plunge in this deep sea of stock market ,its vital and important for you understand about the stocks and how they trade. Most people have heard about stocks from friends or often have overheard a conversation, like “oh Mr. Shah, did wonders on the stock market and now is starting a new firm “or “Mr. Patel lost …XYZ amount in the stock market. Though being a very popular topic of discussion in most of the places, there is a lot of misconception about it. Everything in life is not free so even this money building financial tool also has risk factors in it.
The only way is to educate our self and protect our self by investing the money at the right place.
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
Are you bored with the 9 to 5 job? Want something in your life to change instantly? Want your dreams come true. Your dream of relaxing in a big house and there is a flow of money in the form of dividend cheque. Imagine yourself an owner of a business and watch your company grow.
All of this and much more is now possible by owning STOCKS.
In today’s fast moving world , stocks which was always the ball game of the rich and wealthy people , with the trading technologies expanding itself , the market has opened its doors to each and all who wish to own stock.
If you wish to multiply your money and want build wealth then owning stock is the thing for you .But before you take the plunge in this deep sea of stock market ,its vital and important for you understand about the stocks and how they trade. Most people have heard about stocks from friends or often have overheard a conversation, like “oh Mr. Shah, did wonders on the stock market and now is starting a new firm “or “Mr. Patel lost …XYZ amount in the stock market. Though being a very popular topic of discussion in most of the places, there is a lot of misconception about it. Everything in life is not free so even this money building financial tool also has risk factors in it.
The only way is to educate our self and protect our self by investing the money at the right place.
CHAPTER 2
WHAT ARE STOCKS AND SHARES?
To run a company or a business, you need funds. This capital can either be generated from within or one has to be borrowed from outside. Borrowing the money can always be a very expensive option , what companies do is give a unit of ownership interest in a corporation or a financial asset, which is called a SHARE and the person possessing the share is called SHARE HOLDER.
It does not mean that if a person is SHAREHOLDER he/she gets to make decisions in the day to day operations of the business. They get the equal share in the profit
s of the business in the form of dividends.
STOCK signifies the ownership on the company’s assets and earnings. So in totality SHARES and STOCKS in today’s financial market mean the same thing.
Normally a layman would buy certain shares and keep it just to earn dividends, where as few investors who want to deal in the stock trading would buy and sell them. The prices of the shares keep on rising and falling, so you should d be prepared to lose your investment anytime.
There are investors in the stock market who have lost their fortune in it and few have billions.
So what is most important before entering into the big well of stock market is to educate yourself properly and learn in which shares to invest which can give you big returns.
CHAPTER 3
TYPES OF STOCKS
There are generally 2 types of Stocks.
COMMON STOCK: A common stock also known as Voting share or an Ordinary share gives the right to the shareholder to vote on the corporate matters .policy and to elect the Board Members. Mostly the companies issue Common stocks. The dividend paid on these stocks is not fixed and would vary. The return on the Common stocks is much higher than in any other investment, but this return are with cost as common stock involves maximum risks. If the company goes bankrupt or chooses to close down Common stock holders are only paid after the preferred shareholders, bondholders and the creditors are paid. The biggest benefit of a common stock is its can be converted in cash, that is can be liquidities very fast.
PREFERED STOCK : A Preferred stock is also known as known as Preference share or Preferred share, is a higher ranking stock then the Common stock, and its terms are negotiated between the company and the investor. Preferred stock generally does not carry a voting rights but it does carry priority over the Common stock in payment of dividend and upon liquidation. A Preferred stock holder has option to convert his stock to common stock after predetermined dates, which are called CONVERTIBLE PREFERRED SHARES.
CHAPTER 4
WHAT MOVES STOCK PRICES.
Stock prices are directly related to the company’s earnings, but what exactly makes this prices move? There are no hard and fast rules to this. The news report of a specific company would make the investors have more stocks of it or the negative news can make the investors move out of those companies’ holdings by selling them.
The other reason for the market to sway is countries attempt to correct the inflation. Generally changes the stock prices are affected if the If the country usually higher or lowers the interest rates
According to analyst, amateur investors also can be a reason to move the stock market up and down. Amateur investors out of inexperience normally make decisions on press releases or rumors
The day traders are also considered the major contributor for the ups and downs of the stocks, as they generally deal in huge numbers of stock which affect the stock.
If the company’s are able to show that they have met or exceeded their profit margin , the stocks of the company will automatically go up, but if vice a versa .. If company falls short in meeting the profit margin the immediate reaction of the investors would be to sell the stock holdings of that company.
So to conclude, there is no exact reason for the stock prices to move up or down…
Success in investing comes not with how and a dash of luck, but with analytical and cool mind.
MARKET TREND: BEAR OR BULL!!!!
Where these names do came from? Remember bears are sluggish and bulls are forceful. The bull flairs its thorns up when tries to attack its prey and the bear swipes downs, this is metaphorically depicted in the stock market. When the market has trend is upwards it’s said to be a Bull market and Bear market when the trend hits the downward graph.
BULL MARKET
A bull market trend is associated with increasing confidence of the investors, and anticipation of the future rise in the prices which would motivate the investors to buy the stocks. India’s Mumbai Stock Exchange Index, SUNSEX, was in the Bull Run for almost five years fro2003 to 2008.
BEAR MARKET
A Bear market is a steady drop in the stock market over a period of time. It is accompanied by pessimistic approach taken by the investors anticipating future down fall in the prices and hence starts selling the shares. No specific definition is available for the Bear market. But one generally accepted measure is a price decline of 15 % over a two month period of time.
CHAPTER 5
STOCKMARKETS
A stock market is a public for trading of the company stock at an agreed price. It is considered the fast way to get the money from an individual and give it to the company that needs it.
The concept of stock trading comes from way back in 1600 , when the East India Company was launched, it needed money from the people for their voyages, without any guarantee of return .hence they approached the investors to whom they gave shares in return of the cash.
The idea was that the risk would be shared and divided among the investors, no fixed returns would be paid to them but if company progressed and did well then the investors will be benefited. The idea worked and the investors made profits and by the end of 17th century many more were entering the ball game of trade.
In 1801 the LSE (LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE) was formulated, the systems were formulated and there was no looking back after that. LSE also runs AIM (Alternative investment Market) for the young companies as “starter market “
Today, along with Britain, LSE runs the biggest exchange with 1800 + companies, which is called the “main market “.
CHAPTER 6
STOCK EXCHANGES
WHY DO COMPANIES LIST ON THEM?
Stock Exchange is an organization or a corporation which helps in trading of stocks to investors and stock brokers. The main aim of listing the companies on stock exchange could be
Raising Capital for the businesses
Mobilizing Savings for further Investment and
Facilitating Companies Growth
NYSE
The biggest and the most prestigious stock exchange is the NYSE ( NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE) .NYSE came in existence way back in 1972 , when 24 New York stockbrokers and merchants got together
Sign the Buttonwood Agreement.
NYSE is first exchange of its kind and trades in the open outcry system. Each stock is traded by a specialist (who is the employee of NYSE) on a specific location on the trading floor. This specialist actually works as auctioneer between buyer and the seller in particular stock. This type of trading makes NYSE different from other exchanges which are totally dependent on electronic devices.
Today with changing times half of NYSE is also trading on electronic devices, and is come out of the Stone Age.
NASDAQ
The NASDAQ (NATIONAL ASSOCIATION of SECURITIES DEALERS AUTOMATED QUOTATION) is the second type of exchange and the largest electronic screen based trading market of United States of America. The exchange does not have central locations of specialist, neither do they floor trading. The entire trading is done through computers and telecommunications.
AMEX
The third largest exchange of America is the AMEX (AMERICAN STOCK EXCHANGE), which has been taken over by NASD (parent company of NASDAQ) in 1998.
OTHER EXCHANGES
There are many other stock exchanges around the world. Almost all countries have stock exchanges, with Americas stock exchange being undoubtedly be the largest.
List of other exchanges,
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
HONG KON GSTOCK EXCHANCE
MUMBAI STOCK EXCHANGE
JOHENSBURG SECURITIES EXCHANGE
And the list can go on…………
CHAPTER 7
WHAT ARE STCOK INDEXES
A stock market index is a method of
measuring a section of stock market. Statistical indicator used in measurement and reporting changes in the market value of group of stocks. By measuring the performance of a one company based on the performance of other companies in the same type of business, which will help the investors to make best investment.
Major types of stock indices:-
There stock indices may classified in many ways.
GLOBAL market index includes all types of companies irrespective of where they are domiciled or traded. The 2 best examples of such index are MSCI WORLD and S&P GLOBAL 100.
NATION market index indicates the performance of a stock exchange of a nation and reflects the economy of the country. The examples of such index are the INDIAN SUNSEX and the JAPANESE NIKKEI 225
More specialized indices comprise of tracking the performance of the certain sector of the market, the example is MORGAN STANLEY BOITECH INDEX, it comprises of 36 American companies under biotechnology industry
Other indexes may track the companies from its size, or a certain type of management etc.
Weighting
The index can be also classified under the criteria as to how is it priced
PRICE WEIGHTED INDEX also known as equal dollar weighted index, each component stock contributes only to its price when determine the overall value. The size of the company or the volume in which its trading is not taken into considerations, hence evens a slight up or down in a single company highly influences the index
CAPITALIZED WEIGHTED INDEX also known as market value weighted index, whose components are weighted according to the total market value of their outstanding shares. The impact of the component’s price change is proportional to the issues overall market value.
CHAPTER 8
HOW DO I BUY AND SELL SHARES?
In ancient days buying and selling stocks/shares was the privilege of the rich , who with the help of certain share brokers use to buy and sell shares and among those few , the ones who had the inside information of the companies use to mint most money.
But the today’s internet age, the entire information is available to the common man, making him pretty much the part of this never ending market. As now most of the information is available on the internet, the stock brokers give their services with no frills attached , meaning you tell them which shares you want to buy or sell and they would do exactly the same , no advice given .
There are big stocks brokers like Barclays, Brennan etc who charge for the service their certain amount of commission for each deal, and also few brokers charge you yearly and quarterly fee just to keep your account open and do the dealing on your behalf.
Investors buy shares only for the purpose of income in forms of dividend, and then they should scrutinize properly and buy such shares that yield the most dividends.
Some investors are not interested in income but are more inclined towards capital growth, hence when the share price increases in anticipation that the company will yield more profits in future and which will affect the increase in the dividend payments… hence investors who are interested in capital growth, should invest in share that are expected to yield huge dividends in future.
CHAPTER 9
WHAT TYPE OF TRADER ARE YOU?
Each individual who is the stock market and is intending to make money has to identify himself from the various trader types he falls into and has to utilize that strategy.
The following are the types of traders,
POSITION TRADERS
Most investors fall in this category, as they buy stocks and hold them for months and years expecting to get more profits out of it. Institutional investors, mutual funds and investment banks are interested in such stocks which yield profits in long term. They concentrate more on the financial strength of the company and not in technicalities.
SWING TRADERS.
These are the traders who look for the fast movement in the market. Fast buying and selling , and in this short term of holding shares these types of traders make lots of wins and losses .They have the fast profit making mentality , they have high risk to reward ratio.
DAY TRADERS.
The stock market moves up and down every day and these types of traders make the most and capture the big portion of the move. He does not believe in keeping the stocks for more period of time like position and swing traders. He uses the stock market as source of income and not investment.
CHAPTER 10
INVESTING
PICKING STOCKS AND PLANNIGN TRADES
Stock picking in many ways is as good as choosing a spouse for you. There are lots of options available to you if you have money. Once you have decided that you want to invest in shares, the biggest question which comes to the mind is how to I buy stocks? How do I plan my trades?
It is up to you to decide in which category of investors you want to be and which strategy you would follow
GROWTH INVESTING STRATEGY
IF you are kind of optimistic investor, then this strategy is good for you. Here the investor foresees the growth of the company’s earnings and invests in it. This type of strategy is considered to the best for beginners in the stock market.
VALUE INVESTING STRATEGY
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd both professors at Columbia Business School, and professors too many big investors, are known as FATHER of this strategy.
In this strategy, the investors tend to buy stocks whose price has recently fallen and are available at cheap prices. But you have to be careful, value investing does not mean “JUNK “.Investors has to do their homework on the companies, and distinguish between the value company and the companies with declining prices. The company should have its fundamentals healthy to prove its worth.
DIVIDEND INVESTING STRATEGY
In this strategy the investors, buys stocks which pay dividends regularly to them on quarterly or yearly basis… The choice of companies in this strategy should be sound and healthy. This strategy may not be the sexist strategy, but in the long run, this time tested investment strategy would definitely yield returns.
CREATING A STOCK TRADING PLAN
If you want to build your wealth, keep your wealth and grow your wealth you should have a solid Stock Trading Plan .A stock trading plan is a fixed set of rules and actions which formulate your trading strategy. Every trade you do should be governed by your trading plan.
Your trade plan is your road map to tell yourself and affirm yourself and reach your goals.
You will have to consider certain criteria for your plan like,
the timing Price of the stock Current news about the stock Liquidity of the stocks How long to keep the stock i.e. to hold them When to sell the stock What to do when the prices of the stock does not move. Etc
You can think of other aspects as well, but the above is the major point s you have to consider.
Once you have made a plan, mock run of the plan in the stock market which will help you to know if your plan is effective or it needs amendments.
CHAPTER 11
THE MECHANICS – PLACING THE ORDER
STEP 1
OPENING A SHARE DEALING ACCOUNT
Once you have decided that you want to deal in shares, you have to open a standard share dealing account, which usually is free. The basic share dealing account offers certain services for free , that means “ No ADVICE “ they would simply buy or sell as per instructions given. They allow you to trade over the phone or thru internet
If you have opened an account with your broker then you have to send them money stating which and how many shares you want to buy. They would charge you certain brokerage fees for their services. Also few of them charge trading fee, if there is no activity for a certain period of time as inactivity fee.
If you are trading through a web site, then it would ask for a username in which you want to open an account and then a password, that’s it and you are on. Once you put the username and the password , it would ask you which companies shares you want to buy, how much you want to buy it would then give you a share quote , if acceptable to you .they get their research on the trading charts and
You can always think and come back again. If the quote is acceptable to you u confirms it and in return you will get an email confirmation by the broker and the deal is done.
Yes, it sounds a little tensed but you will get use to it over a period of time.
CHAPTER 12
RESEARCH STOCKS
STEP2
RESEARCH STOCKS
It is very important that you do proper research on the stock because the stock markets behave in weird ways and you should have proper knowledge to it. Never buy the stocks at random, as the market is not random and it works on lots of principles and attributes. If you want to succeed in the stock market you have to do proper research. Either you do the research on your own or you can hire someone to do it for you.
5 VITAL ISSUES
Fundamentals about the company. How is the company doing, is it a profit making company and a sound company. What is the price history of the stocks of that company, i.e. how much are the investors paying for the stocks. Price target is also a vital factor; you have to see how much the investors would pay for the stocks in future. What catalysts would change the investor’s perception of the stock? The most important of all compare the stocks with others in the same industry.
So, to sum up we can say that it’s important that as an investor you should have understanding of wider markets trends, knowledge of individual sectors. Also you should be able to analyze the financial records. You should not be able to have access to rumors and upcoming deals. Last but the most important is No emotional bias, generally this last point is overlooked.
Research before buying the shares; this can be done in many ways,
Go through the TV SHOWS and the newspapers, they have all the details of the shares which are doing well. Take valuable tips from friends and family members who have the knowledge of the subject, Never take any decision in HASTE and do not ignore any ADVICE. Full service brokers also help to do the research, they hire the stock analysts and they in turn find out which would be the ideal stocks purchase for the client. They charge a specific fee for their services. Interviews of the owners, CEO’S, directors etc also are helpful as they normally give the correct synopsis of their company. In today’s world the internet technology has made the things easier for the investors to the research on their fingertips, they can research on trading charts and platforms. Some of these charts are available for free and some have costs attached to it.
It is of very important that you get all relevant and correct information on time so as to grow in the market and make maximum profits. You should be aware of that in the stock trading wrong and unreliable information is very dangerous.
CHAPTER 13
HOW TO READ QUOTES
HOW TO READ SHARE QUOTES IN NEWSPAPERS / INTERNET
Most of the people track their stock trades in the business sections of the newspaper or on the internet. The information provided on the stock table is the most current data available.
The stock table looks something like below
STEP1
Column 1 and 2 are the 52 WEEK High and Low – This is the highest and the lowest price paid for the single stock over the last 52 weeks i.e. one year.
STEP 2
Column 3 is the Companies name and the Type of stock – This column lists the name of the company. If there are no special letters or numbers following the name it is considered to be a common stock, but For example “pf” is return then it means the preferred stock, different symbols imply different types of stocks.
Step 3
Column 4 is the Ticker Symbol (SYM) – This is the unique alphabetic name which identifies the stock issued by the firm. If you are looking for the stocks quotes online you should search for the company by the Ticker Symbol.
STEP 4
Column 5 is the Dividend per Share – This indicated the annual dividend paid for each share, but if the space is blank then the company is not paying any dividends.
STEP5
Column 6 is the Dividend Yield –This is the percentage return on the dividend. Some companies do not pay dividends regularly; the Board of Directors decides how much to pay on quarterly basis calculated on annual dividend of the share divided by the price per share.
STEP 6
Column 7 is the Price/ Earnings Ratio –Mostly commonly known as P/E, this is calculated the current stocks prices by earnings per share from the last 4 quarters. The higher the P/E, the more investors are paying for the company’s potential.
STEP 7
Column 8 is the Trading Volume –The figures shows the total number of shares traded for the day, listed in hundreds. To get the actual number traded add”00” to the end of the numbers listed or multiply the number in the column by 100
STEP 8
Column 9 and 10 are the Days High and Low – This indicates the maximum and the minimum people have paid for the stock in a day
STEP 9
Column 11 is the Close – The close is the last trading price recorded at the end of the day, i.e. at market close.
STEP 10
Column is 12 is the Net Change – This is the dollar value change in the stock price then the last day’s closing price. If the + (positive) sign indicates rise and a – (negative) sign indicates a drop in the price.
CHAPTER 14
HOW TO BUY SHARES?
We have already discussed this before, but just to refresh it further, in ancient days dealing in trade market was only the privilege of the rich people, but now it is not so a common man is also a part of the trade market.
You can buy shares through any of the following ways
Stock broking through bank, custom stock brokers over the telephone or on line trading through internet.
If you have no idea how to go about investing and really need a lots of help then in that circumstances , you can go for ADVISORY SERVICE , where in the stock broker looks in to you individual account and advices you on buying and selling
But , if you wish to hand over the entire thing to someone else, then in that case you can go for DISCREATIONARY SERVICE, in this there is certain strategy between you and the broker which is agreed upon and the stock broker takes all the decisions of buying and selling on your behalf with your money. This type of service risk factor is more.
You can categorize the brokers in two major types,
Discount brokers – these brokers will collect a certain amount of annual fee form you and will only carry out what has been told to them, over the phone, in person or on the internet. They would give ZERO advice to you.
Full Service brokers- these brokers give you recommendations and advices on which stocks are good to buy, which will yield profits and which stocks are overvalued. They provided these services with a little higher fees and sometimes even commissions
CHAPTER 15
HOW TO PICK A BROKER
Now, the question arises is HOW DO I PICK BROKER?
You should first decide whether you want a telephoning broker or he should be an online broker as well. Then next you should find the following factors.
ü Quality of information
Overview Of Banking Project
Title: Comparative study of non interest income of the Indian Banking Sector
Submitted by:
Gaurav Sharma
BBA(Finance, Gold Medal),MBA(Finance)
gksindia1@gmail.com
Index
Introduction 1
Methodology 3
SBI& Associates 5
Nationalized banks(Public sector banks) 10
Private sector banks 15
Foreign banks 20
Findings 25
Conclusion 26
Literature review 26
References 26
Introduction
There are two broad sources of bank revenues:
Interest income Non-interest income.
Interest income is generated from what is known as “the spread.” The spread is the difference between the interest a bank earns on loans extended to customers, corporate etc and the interest paid to depositors for the use of their money. It is also earned from any securities that the banks own, such as treasury bills or bonds.
Non-interest income is earned by providing a variety of services, such as trading of securities, assisting companies to issue new equity financing, securities commissions and wealth management, sale of land, building, profit and loss on revaluation of assets etc.
As compared to the developed world, the Indian banking sector, apart from the relying on traditional sources of revenue like loan making are also focusing on the activities that generate fee income, service charges, trading revenue, and other types of noninterest income. While noninterest income plays an important role in banking revenues in the developed world, its contribution to the total income of the Indian banking was 25% as on 31st March 2008.
Components of non interest income
The major components of non interest income in our banking sector are as follows:
Commission/ exchange and brokerage Profit or loss on Sale of investments Profit or loss Sale of land& buildings Profit/loss on revaluation of investments Profit or loss on Exchange transaction etc. Miscellaneous income source which includes advisory, trading etc.
Share of various sources of non interest income
The share of various sources of non interest income to the total income of banking sector as on 31st march 2008 is shown in the pie chart below:
In the above figure we find that the highest contribution to the non interest income has been of the commission followed by sale of investments, miscellaneous income and exchange transactions.
Movements of interest and non interest income of the Indian banking sector (1994-2004)
Methodology
Under this I have done a comparative study of non interest income of the Indian banking sector by classifying banks into four categories:
SBI and associates which includes State bank of India, State bank of Bikaner and Jaipur, State bank of Hyderabad, State bank of Mysore, State bank of Patiala, State bank of Saurashtra and State bank of Travancore. Nationalized banks: (Public sector banks) which includes Allahabad bank, Andhra bank, Bank of Baroda, Bank of India, Bank of Maharashtra, Canara bank, Central Bank of India, Corporation bank, Dena bank, Indian bank, Indian Overseas bank, New bank of India, Oriental bank of Commerce, Punjab &Sind bank, Punjab National Bank, Syndicate bank, UCO bank, Union bank of India, United bank of India, Vijaya bank.( Total 19) Other scheduled banks: (Private sector banks) which includes Development credit bank, Times bank, Axis bank, Indus land Bank, ICICI bank, Bank of Rajasthan, Catholic Syrian bank, Lakshmi Vilas bank, HDFC bank, Centurion bank, Bank of Punjab, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank, Federal bank, Punjab Cooperative bank, Lord Krishna bank, ING Vyasya bank, IDBI bank, Dhanlakshmi bank.(total 18 banks) Foreign banks: which includes Barclays bank, ING bank, ABN Amro bank, Bank of America, BNP Paribas, Standard Chartered bank, DBS bank ,Citibank, HSBC, Deutsche bank, Mashreq bank, Bank of Nova Scotia, Bank of Bahrain & Kuwait, American Express bank (total 14 banks)
The banks used under private sector and foreign sector category are reflective of major portion of their respective market/category. Moreover data was not available for other banks within that category.
The period of study taken was 11 years i.e. 1994-2004. The period of study was taken as 11 years because, for the above mentioned period the data was available for all the bank and to ensure uniformity.
Objectives of the study:
To analyze the growth of non interest income as a source of revenue for the Indian banking sector over a period of 11 years (1994-2004). To analyze the contribution of major components of the non interest income over a period of 11 years (1994-2004). To find out statistically that how much of the profits of the banking sector over a period of 11 years is determined by non interest income and interest income. To find out statistically the contribution of various components of Non interest income towards the profits of the bank over a period of 11 years. To find out the contribution of interest and non interest income towards the total income in each of the 11 years (1994-04). To find out the correlation between the non interest income and the total income of the banking sector over a period of 11 years. To find out the reasons for the increase in the non interest income and what are the challenges involved to generate non interest income.
Tool used:
Data rega
rding the interest income, non interest income, profits, various components of non interest income, total income of the banking sector has been collected from the RBI website.
To find out the influence of interest and non interest income on the profits of the banking sector, I have made use of multiple regression tool in E-views software.
The interest and non interest income were independent variable and the profits of the bank was the dependent variable
Two Multiple Regression equation was used for the study:
Equation 1
Profits=a+b1*interest income+b2*noninterest income
Where b1 and b2 were coefficient and a is the intercept term which shows the profits of the bank had been c if interest and non interest income had been 0
Equation 2
Profits: a+b1*commission+b2*profit/loss on sale of land+ profit/loss on sale of investment+ profit/loss on revaluation of investment +profit/loss on exchange transactions+ Miscellaneous income
Where profits was the dependent variable and various components of non interest income were independent variable and a is the constant term
The equation 2 was used to find out the influence of various components of non interest income on the profits of the bank.
SBI and Associates
(Rs‘000)
In the above table we see the following:
Column1: Average
Column 2: Year
Column 3: Other income or the non interest income of the bank
Column 4: Commission, exchange and brokerage
Column 5: Net profit/loss on sale of investment
Column6: Net profit/loss on revaluation of investment
Column7: Net profit/loss on sale of land, building and other assets
Column 8: Net profit/ loss on exchange transactions
Column 9: Miscellaneous income
Column 10: Total income of the bank
Column 11: Profit/loss of the bank
Column 12: Interest income of the bank
Column 13: Noninterest income as a percentage of total income
Column 14: Interest income as a percentage of total income
Influence of interest and non interest income on profits of SBI& Associates
The above output is of the multiple regression equation where we have tried to find out that how much of the profits of the SBI and its associates are determined by interest and non interest income.
We find non -interest income to be a significant variable in explaining the profits of SBI as the prob value is less the .05 (.0095)and the value of t stat is more than 2(3.386)[ Rule: an independent variable is said to be significant is its prob value is less than .05 or the t-stat is more than 2). We find that in our regression model the percentage of variation in the profits of SBI and its associate that is explained by interest and non interest income is 92.81% ( Rule: for a regression model to be efficient the r-square shall be at least .6) From the above output we find that Noninterest income had a significant influence on the profits of SBI and its associates over a period of 11 years.
Influence of non interest components on profit of SBI& Associate
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.990(a)
.981
.943
4040785.55743
a Predictors: (Constant), misc, plland, plexchange, pllinvest, plreav, comm
Coefficients(a)
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-20565743.526
10099548.868
-2.036
.135
comm
2.109
.603
1.153
3.495
.040
pllinvest
.970
.255
.944
3.805
.032
plreav
27.569
76.257
.100
.362
.742
plland
76.158
97.743
.221
.779
.493
plexchange
-1.077
.815
-.135
-1.322
.278
misc
-4.728
2.151
-1.042
-2.198
.115
a Dependent Variable: profit
In the above regression output the independent variable used were various components of non interest income i.e. commission/exchange /brokerage, profit/loss on sale of investment, profit and loss on revaluation of investment, profit/loss on sale of land/building, profit/loss on exchange transaction and miscellaneous income. And the dependent variable used was the profits of the SBI& associates
The objective is to find out that which one of the non interest component had a major influence on the profit of SBI & associates over a period of 11 years.
We find the following:
The percentage of variation in the profits of the SBI& associates explained by the 6 independent variables is 98.1% which is significant(as R square shall be more than .6) We find that commission/exchange/brokerage and profit/loss on sale of investment had a major influence on the profits of the SBI and its associates over a period of 11 years. As they are having a prob values less than .05(level of significance) and is having a t-stat more than 2.
This means that SBI and its associates shall focus more on commission exchange and brokerage for its non interest income.
Contribution of various components of non-interest income of SBI& Associate(94-04)
The above pie graph has been prepared by taking into account the average values of non interest income components over a period of 11 years (94-04). From the above graph we find that commission/exchange and brokerage had around 59% (highest) contribution to the non interest income followed by sale of investment (20%). Exchange transaction was having a contribution of 12% and miscellaneous income was having an influence of 9%. The sale of land/buildings, revaluation of investment was having a very negligible influence on the non interest income.
Movements of interest and non interest income of SBI & Associates(94-04)
If we look at the movement of interest and non interest income of SBI and associates over a period of 11 years we will find that the non interest income has grown at a CAGR of 18.46% and the interest income has grown at a CAGR of 13.15%.The noninterest income over a period of 11 years has grown by 444.563% whereas interest income has increased by 244.14% which shows how aggressively the bank is working on its non interest income.
Contribution of interest and non interest income of SBI & Associate
From the above table we find the contribution of interest and non interest income as a percentage of total income in each of the 11 years period. We find the share of non interest income has increased over a period of time from 14% to 21% and share of interest income has decreased from 85% to 78%.
On an average over a period of 11 years the contribution of non interest income as been 15% and interest income has been 85% to the total income of the SBI and its associates.
Correlation between non interest income and total income
0.935642
There is a very positive correlation between non interest income and the total income of SBI and its associates which shows that higher the non interest income higher the total income of the SBI& associate.
Nationalized banks: Public sector banks
(Rs‘000)
In the above table we see the following:
r/>
Column1: Average
Column 2: Year
Column 3: Other income or the non interest income of the bank
Column 4: Commission, exchange and brokerage
Column 5: Net profit/loss on sale of investment
Column6: Net profit/loss on revaluation of investment
Column7: Net profit/loss on sale of land, building and other assets
Column 8: Net profit/ loss on exchange transactions
Column 9: Miscellaneous income
Column 10: Total income of the bank
Column 11: Profit/loss of the bank
Column 12: Interest income of the bank
Column 13: Noninterest income as a percentage of total income
Column 14: Interest income as a percentage of total income
Influence of interest and non interest income on profits of Public sector banks (94-04)
The above output is of the multiple regression equation where we have tried to find out that how much of the profits of the public sector banks are determined by interest and non interest income.
Non interest and Interest income are independent variables and profit is the dependent variable
From the above output we find:
We find non -interest income to be a significant variable in explaining the profits of public sector banks as the prob value is less the .05 (.0268) and the value of t stat is more than 2(2.7056) [Rule: an independent variable is said to be significant if its prob value is less than .05(level of significance) or the t-stat is more than 2]. We find that in our regression model the percentage of variation in the profits of public sector banks that is explained by interest and non interest income is 88.86%( Rule for a regression model to be efficient the r-square shall be at least .6) From the above output we find that noninterest income had a significant influence on the profits of public sector banks over a period of 11 years.
Influence of non interest components on profit of Public sector banks(94-04)
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.974(a)
.948
.870
14640946.95589
a Predictors: (Constant), misc, plland, plreav, pllinvest, plexchange, comm.
Coefficients(a)
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-84595095.339
58218744.505
-1.453
.220
comm
.151
5.866
.024
.026
.981
pllinvest
.017
.478
.014
.035
.974
plreav
-13.928
8.434
-.348
-1.651
.174
plland
48.353
63.394
.105
.763
.488
plexchange
5.954
8.910
.276
.668
.541
misc
3.451
7.536
.470
.458
.671
a Dependent Variable: profit
In the above regression output the independent variable used were various components of non interest income i.e. commission/exchange /brokerage, profit/loss on sale of investment, profit and loss on revaluation of investment, profit/loss on sale of land/building, profit/loss on exchange transaction and miscellaneous income. And the dependent variable used was the profits of the public sector banks
The objective is to find out which one of the non interest component had a major influence on the profit of public sector banks over a period of 11 years.
We find the following:
The percentage of variation in the profits of the public sector banks explained by the 6 independent variables is 94.8% which is significant(as r square shall be more than .6) We find that none of the non interest component was individually sufficient in explaining the profits of the public sector banks as we find that none of the non interest component is having a significance value of less than .5 or having a t-stat of more than 2.
Contribution of various components of non interest income of Public Sector banks (94-04)
The above pie graph has been prepared by taking into account the average values of non interest income components over a period of 11 years (94-04). From the above graph we find that commission/exchange and brokerage had around 36% (highest) contribution to the non interest income followed by sale of investment (35%). Miscellaneous income was having a contribution of 16% followed by exchange transaction i.e. 12%. The sale of land/buildings, revaluation of investment was having a very negligible influence on the non interest income.
Movements of interest and non interest income of Public sector banks(94-04)
If we look at the movement of interest and non interest income of public sector banks over a period of 11 years we will find that the non interest income has grown at a CAGR of 19.85% and the interest income has grown at a CAGR of 12.68%.The noninterest income over a period of 11 years has grown by 511.87% whereas interest income has increased by 230.03% which shows how aggressively the bank is working on its non interest income.
Contribution of interest and non interest income of the Public Sector banks(94-04)
From the above table we find the contribution of interest and non interest income as a percentage of total income in each of the 11 years period. We find the share of non interest income has increased over a period of time from 11% to 20% and share of interest income has decreased from 88% to 79%.
On an average over a period of 11 years the contribution of non interest income as been 13% and interest income has been 87% to the total income of the public sector banks.
Correlation between non interest income and total income of Public sector banks
0.940162
There is a very positive correlation between non interest income and the total income of public sector banks which shows that higher the non interest income higher the total income of the public sector banks.
Private sector banks
(Rs ‘000)
In the above table we see the following:
Column1: Average
Column 2: Year
Column 3: Other income or the non interest income of the bank
Column 4: Commission, exchange and brokerage
Column 5: Net profit/loss on sale of investment
Column6: Net profit/loss on revaluation of investment
Column7: Net profit/loss on sale of land, building and other assets
Column 8: Net profit/ loss on exchange transactions
Column 9: Miscellaneous income
Column 10: Total income of the bank
Column 11: Profit/loss of the bank
Column 12: Interest income of the bank
Column 13: Noninterest income as a percentage of total income
Column 14: Interest income as a percentage of total income
Influence of interest and non interest income on profits of Private sector banks(94-04)
The above output is of the multiple regression equation where we have tried to find out that how much of the profits of the private sector banks are determined by interest and non interest income.
Non interest and Interest income are independent variables and profit is the dependent variable
From the above output we find:
We find non -interest income to be a significant variable in explaining the profits of private sector banks as the prob value is less the .05 (.0128
) and the value of t stat is more than 2(3.188) [Rule: an independent variable is said to be significant if its prob value is less than .05(level of significance) or the t-stat is more than 2]. We find that in our regression model the percentage of variation in the profits of private sector banks that is explained by interest and non interest income is 95.95 %( Rule for a regression model to be efficient the R-square shall be at least .6) From the above output we find that noninterest income had a significant influence on the profits of private sector banks over a period of 11 years.
Influence of non interest components on profit of Private sector banks (94-04)
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.964
.912
.881
309483.83835
a Predictors: (Constant), misc, plreav, plexchange, pllinvest, plland, comm
Coefficients(a)
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-775200.943
177724.748
-4.362
.012
comm
.493
.252
.311
1.955
.122
pllinvest
.623
.147
.672
4.240
.013
plreav
4.129
2.209
.062
1.869
.135
plland
108.894
14.560
.923
7.479
.002
plexchange
-2.522
.513
-.268
-4.915
.008
misc
3.314
.310
1.114
10.680
.000
In the above regression output the independent variable used were various components of non interest income i.e. commission/exchange /brokerage, profit/loss on sale of investment, profit and loss on revaluation of investment, profit/loss on sale of land/building, profit/loss on exchange transaction and miscellaneous income. And the dependent variable used was the profits of the private sector banks
The objective to find out which one of the non interest component had a major influence on the profit of private sector banks over a period of 11 years.
We find the following:
The percentage of variation in the profits of the private sector banks explained by the 6 independent variables is 91.2% which is significant(as r square shall be more than .6) We find that sale of investment , land & building and miscellaneous income and exchange transactions have a major influence on the profits of private sector banks over a period of 11 years as these variable are having a significance level of less than .05 and a t-stat of more than 2. According to the above output miscellaneous income had a major influence o the profits of the as it’s is having the maximum t-stat i.e. 10.680 so bank shall focus on it for its non interest income.
Contribution of various components of non interest income of Private Sector banks (94-04)
The above pie graph has been prepared by taking into account the average values of non interest income components over a period of 11 years (94-04). From the above graph we find that sale of investment has around 41%(highest) contribution to the non interest income followed by commission/exchange /brokerage 34% followed by miscellaneous income(17%) and exchange transactions 8%. The sale of land/buildings, revaluation of investment was having a very negligible influence on the non interest income.
Movements of interest and non interest income of Private Sector banks(94-04)
If we look at the movement of interest and non interest income of private sector banks over a period of 11 years we will find that the non interest income has grown at a CAGR of 43.50% and the interest income has grown at a CAGR of 33.95%. The non interest income over a period of 11 years has grown by 3604.74%% whereas interest income has increased by 1760.84% which shows how aggressively the private sector banks are working on its non interest income.
Contribution of interest and non interest income of Private sector banks (94-04)
From the above table we find the contribution of interest and non interest income as a percentage of total income in each of the 11 years period. We find the share of non interest income has increased over a period of time from 13% to 23% and share of interest income has decreased from 86% to 76%.
On an average over a period of 11 years the contribution of non interest income as been 17% and interest income has been 83% to the total income of the private sector banks.
Correlation between non interest income and total income of Private sector banks
0.987067
There is a very positive correlation between non interest income and the total income of private sector banks which shows that higher the non interest income higher the total income of the private sector banks.
Foreign banks
(Rs ‘000)
In the above table we see the following:
Column1: Average
Column 2: Year
Column 3: Other income or the non interest income of the bank
Column 4: Commission, exchange and brokerage
Column 5: Net profit/loss on sale of investment
Column6: Net profit/loss on revaluation of investment
Column7: Net profit/loss on sale of land, building and other assets
Column 8: Net profit/ loss on exchange transactions
Column 9: Miscellaneous income
Column 10: Total income of the bank
Column 11: Profit/loss of the bank
Column 12: Interest income of the bank
Column 13: Noninterest income as a percentage of total income
Column 14: Interest income as a percentage of total income
Influence of interest and non interest income on profits of Foreign banks (94-04)
The above output is of the multiple regression equation where we have tried to find out that how much of the profits of the foreign banks are determined by interest and non interest income.
Non interest and Interest income are independent variables and profit is the dependent variable
From the above output we find:
We find non -interest income to be a significant variable in explaining the profits of foreign banks as the prob value is less the .05 (.0006) and the value of t stat is more than 2(5.459) [Rule: an independent variable is said to be significant if its prob value is less than .05(level of significance) or the t-stat is more than 2]. We find that in our regression model the percentage of variation in the profits of foreign banks that is explained by interest and non interest income is 94.64%( Rule for a regression model to be efficient the r-square shall be at least .6)
From the above output we find that noninterest income had a major and significant influence on the profits of foreign banks over a period of 11 years
Influence of non interest components on profit of Foreign banks (94-04)
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.995(a)
.990
.975
891916.79648
a Predictors: (Constant), misc, plland, plreav, pllinvest, comm, plexchange
Coefficients(a)
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
2987693.345
1103189.297
2.708
.054
comm
-.182
.245
-.131
-.744
.498
pllinvest
.371
.298
.158
1.248
.280
plreav
-15.101
9.845
-.094
-1.534
.200
plland
-9.579
5.393
-.123
-1.776
.150
plexchange
.808
.384
.485
2.101
.103
misc
2.657
.952
.580
2.790
.049
a Dependent Variable: profit
In the above regression output the independent variable used were various components of non interest income i.e. commission/exchange /brokerage, profit/loss on sale of investment, profit and loss on revaluation of investment, profit/loss on sale of land/building, profit/loss on exchange transaction and miscellaneous income. And the dependent variable used as the profits of the foreign banks
The objective is to find out which one of the non interest component had a major influence on the profit of foreign banks over a period of 11 years.
We find the following:
The percentage of variation in the profits of the foreign banks explained by the 6 independent variables is 99.0% which is significant(as r square shall be more than .6) We find that only miscellaneous income have a major influence on the profits of foreign banks over a period of 11 years as it is having a significance level of less than .05(.049) and a t-stat of more than 2(2.790).
Contribution of various components of non interest income of Foreign banks (94-04)
The above pie graph has been prepared by taking into account the average values of non interest income components over a period of 11 years (94-04). From the above graph we find that commission/exchange /brokerage was having around 48% (highest) contribution to the non interest income followed by exchange transactions 29%. The contribution of sale of investment was 17% followed by miscellaneous income 6% .The sale of land/buildings, revaluation of investment was having a very negligible influence on the non interest income
Movements of interest and non interest income of foreign banks (94-04)
If we look at the movement of interest and non interest income of foreign banks over a period of 11 years we will find that the non interest income has grown at a CAGR of 19.57% and the interest income has grown at a CAGR of 13.49%. The non interest income over a period of 11 years has grown by 497.394%% whereas interest income has increased by 254.54% which shows how aggressively the bank is working on its non interest income
Contribution of interest and non interest income of foreign banks (94-04)
From the above table we find the contribution of interest and non interest income as a percentage of total income in each of the 11 years period. We find the share of non interest income has increased over a period of time from 21% to 31% and share of interest income has decreased from 78% to 68%.
On an average over a period of 11 years the contribution of non interest income as been 23% and interest income has been 77% to the total income of the foreign banks.
Correlation between non interest income and total income of foreign banks
0.972437
There is a very positive correlation between non interest income and the total income of private sector banks which shows that higher the non interest income higher the total income of the private sector banks.
Findings
We have seen that the contribution of non interest income of our banking sector has increased significantly over a period of 11 years. We have also seen that in each type of banks i.e. SBI, public sector banks, private sector banks and foreign banks the contribution of non interest income towards the total income has increased over a period of time and that of the interest income has decreased over a period of time. If we look at the total banking sector we will find that in our banking system the non interest income is having a significant influence on the profits of the banks. On an average the share of the non interest income towards the total income of the banking sector has increased from 12% in 1994 to 20% in 2004.If we look at the components of non interest income of our banking sector we will find that commission/exchange and brokerage earned by the banks had a major contribution i.e. 44% to the total noninterest income of the bank , after the commission the next big contribution to the non interest income had been of the sale of investments which was 28%, followed by exchange transactions having a share of 15%. Miscellaneous income was having the 13% contribution to the total noninterest income of the banking sector. The contribution of sale of land, revaluation of investments was having a negative or even a negligible influence on the noninterest income of the banking sector. On an average the non interest income of the banking sector has grown at a CAGR of 25% as compared to interest income which has grown at a CAGR of 18%. The percentage increase in the non interest income of the banking sector has increased by 1264.64% and interest income has increased by 622%. The private sector banks had seen a significant contribution in the increase of its non interest income over a period of 11 years as compared to other types of banks. Among the various non interest components that had an influence on the profits of the banking sector we find that commission, sale of investment, miscellaneous income had a significant influence on it. We also find that there was a positive correlation between the non interest income and the total income of the banking sector. We also find that in case of public sector banks none of the non interest component was found to be statistically significant enough to influence the profits over a period of 11 years.
Reasons for increase in the non interest income
Now if we look at the reason for the increase in the non interest income of the banking sector we will find that it has majorly increased due to following reasons:
With economy growing at an unprecedented rate of 9.4 per cent during 2006-07 and acceleration in the growth rate being attributable to the buoyancy in the industrial and service sector, the demand for fee-based services of banks has gone up and as a result of which the non interest income has also risen up. Noninterest income is an effective way used by banks to respond to its squeezing margins At the bank level, greater reliance on noninterest income, particularly trading revenue, is associated with lower risk-adjusted pro?ts attached to it.
Challenges involved
Not aggressive direct customer interaction of public sector banks. High cost and less expertise involved in launching of innovative products/services as per the customers’ expectations. Technology requirements.
Conclusion
After studying the non interest growth pattern of the Indian banking sector over a period of 11 years we can say that it is slowly and gradually becoming one of the important avenues for our Indian banks to generate revenue from. In this respect we see that not only private banks and foreign banks are ahead but also our public sector banks are gradually catching it. We can say that it to be an important source available with our banking sector to respond to the squeezing margins and meeting the shareholders expectations.
Literature review
1. Business Efficiency of Public Sector Commercial Banks: A Data Envelopment Approach :
Ram Pratap Sinha (2008)
The article says that following the nationalization of 20 major commercial banks in 1969 an
d 1980, the government followed policies of financial repression up to the 1980s. During this period the public sector commercial banks had rapid expansion of branches, especially in the rural and semi urban areas and had reasonable success in the matter of deposit mobilization and disbursement of loans. However, the operating efficiency of public sector commercial banks, declined during the period due to various reasons. In the 1990s, the banking environment was radically transformed by certain bold initiatives taken by RBI including the dismantling of entry barriers, rate deregulation, introduction of prudential accounting norm and the implementation of Basel I capital adequacy norms. The changed competition and accounting environment compelled the commercial banks to provide unprecedented attention to cost cutting and supplementing fund-based income by fee-based income.
Product mix and earnings volatility at commercial bank: evidence from a degree of leverage model: Robert De young & Karin P Roland(1999)
The article says that the commercial banks lending and deposit taking business has declined in recent years. Deregulation and new technology have eroded bank’s comparative advantages and made it easier for non bank competitors to enter these markets. In response, banks have shifted their sales mix towards noninterest income-by selling non bank fee based financial services such as mutual funds, by charging fees for services that used to be bundled together with deposit or loan products .It says that the conventional wisdom in the banking industry is that earnings from fee based products are more stable than loan based earnings and that fee based activities reduce bank risk via diversification.
References
RBI website Icfai Journal of Banking studies Sept 2008 issue pg 22-26 Ideas.repec.org